Methane emissions from natural gas systems indicates new priorities
The study “Methane Leaks from North American Natural Gas Systems,” presents a first effort to systematically compare North American emissions estimates at scales ranging from device-level to continental atmospheric studies. Because natural gas emits less carbon dioxide during combustion than other fossil fuels, it has been looked to as a ‘bridge’ fuel to a lower carbon energy system.
“With this study and our larger body of work focusing on natural gas and our transforming energy economy, we offer policymakers and investors a solid analytical foundation for decision making,” said Doug Arent, executive director of the Joint Institute for Strategic Energy Analysis (JISEA) and a co-author to the study. “While we found that official inventories tend to under-estimate total methane leakage, leakage rates are unlikely to be high enough to undermine the climate benefits of gas versus coal.”
“Recent life cycle assessments generally agree that replacing coal with natural gas has climate benefits,” said Garvin Heath, a senior scientist at the NREL and a lead author of the report. “Our findings show that natural gas can be a bridge to a sustainable energy future, but that bridge must be traversed carefully. Current evidence suggests leakages may be larger than official estimates, so diligence will be required to ensure that leakage rates are actually low enough to achieve sustainability goals.”
Among other key findings of the research:
- Official inventories of methane leakage consistently underestimate actual leakage.
- Evidence at multiple scales suggests that the natural gas and oil sectors are important contributors.
- Independent experiments suggest that a small number of “super-emitters” could be responsible for a large fraction of leakage.
- Recent regional atmospheric studies with very high emissions rates are unlikely to be representative of typical natural gas system leakage rates.
- Hydraulic fracturing is not likely to be a substantial emissions source, relative to current national totals.
- Abandoned oil and gas wells appear to be a significant source of current emissions.
- Emissions inventories can be improved in ways that make them a more essential tool f
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